10
Matt Machine
7yo Gelding · 8-8
Marseille-borely · Prix Henri Cabassu Claiming Stakes · 1m 99y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-08-21 | Deauville | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-07-10 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-03-13 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 06/01/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 25/01/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 22/02/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 13/03/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 10/07/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 21/08/2025 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |