9

Soan
7yo Horse · 8-8
Marseille-borely · Prix Henri Cabassu Claiming Stakes · 1m 99y
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength25%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | Marseille | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-13 | Marseille | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-02-05 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-02 | Marseille | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength18%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/11/2024 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 30% | -0.31 |
| 25/11/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 17/12/2024 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 02/01/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 25/01/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 05/02/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 22/02/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 13/03/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |