1
Sous Influence
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Marseille-borely · Prix Henri Cabassu Claiming Stakes · 1m 99y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 16/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 09/03/2026 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |