4

Tashanka

5yo Colt · 9-1

Marseille-borely · Prix Henri Cabassu Claiming Stakes · 1m 99y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille 08/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1298/12C?3 @ Marseille 05/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f100y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS2/023C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Ver 136C0 @ Marseille 22/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f100y Std 13422/03C?2 @ Toulouse 19/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS8/0521 @ Marseille 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Vichy 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12824/074projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Vichy46th6th0
2026-06-20Marseille16th2nd+3
2026-05-08Lyon-Parilly28th6th+2
2026-04-19Toulouse26th4th+2
2026-03-22Marseille?1st1st0
2026-02-22Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1222/028/0524/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength61%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/12/20256th8/158%58%+0.00
05/01/20262nd11/271%89%+0.18
02/02/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
22/02/20265th4/179%64%-0.15
22/03/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
19/04/20266th18/15%29%+0.23
08/05/20268th20/10%53%+0.53
20/06/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
24/07/20266th11/271%29%-0.42