9
Bosquet
5yo Gelding · 8-1
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Marseillaises Handicap · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 13% | -0.76 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |