5
Happy Again
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Marseillaises Handicap · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 30/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 53% | -0.05 |
| 12/03/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 26/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 08/04/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 9% | -0.72 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |