2
Hornig
3yo Colt · 9-3
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Marseillaises Handicap · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +10.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 69% | +0.03 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.12 |
| 20/04/2026 | 11th | 7/4 | 91% | 9% | -0.82 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 22% | -0.44 |
| 24/07/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 21/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |