7
Hy Dream
8yo Mare · 8-9
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Marseillaises Handicap · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 27% | -0.28 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 58% | -0.18 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 79% | +0.10 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |