3
Mataki
3yo Colt · 9-8
Marseille-borely · Prix De L'union Hippique De La Mediterranee Handicap · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dax | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/4 | 99% | 83% | -0.15 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |