1
Saskatoon
5yo Gelding · 9-9
Marseille-borely · Prix De L'union Hippique De La Mediterranee Handicap · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 2 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 38% | -0.54 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |
| 20/07/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |