6
Smile For Me
4yo Filly · 9-2
Marseille-borely · Prix De L'union Hippique De La Mediterranee Handicap · 5f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength81%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 45% | -0.36 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |