7

Vive La Reine
5yo Filly · 9-1
Marseille-borely · Prix De L'union Hippique De La Mediterranee Handicap · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength2%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 38% | -0.55 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/08/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |