4
Waziers
6yo Mare · 9-4
Marseille-borely · Prix De L'union Hippique De La Mediterranee Handicap · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 2 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 46% | -0.12 |
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 20/07/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |