7
Black Bety
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 61
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Allowance · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-06-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-05-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-04-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |