5
Good Enough For Me
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 71
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Allowance · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-09-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-09-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |