2
Princess Clemmie
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 81
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Allowance · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 07/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/09/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |