IvyArcIvyArc
6

Sip'n' Speed

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 70

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Allowance · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength14%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Mountaineer 22/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 68 · 1m 120 · below its mark22/04/2026 · OR 68 par22/04C8OR 68C8 @ Mountaineer 11/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 69 · 1m Slo 120 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Mountaineer 14/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 68 · 1m Slo 121 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 68 par14/06C8OR 68C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Mountaineer 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 63 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 63 par9/07C8OR 63C8 @ Mountaineer 19/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 65 · 7f Fas 124 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 65 parC5 @ Mountaineer 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 66 · 7f110y Gd 122 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 66 par29/07C5OR 66C8 @ Mountaineer 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 68 · 7f 124 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Mountaineer 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 68 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 68 par3/09C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Mountaineer?1st4th−3
2026-08-24Mountaineer?3rd6th−3
2026-07-29Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2026-07-19Mountaineer?3rd6th−3
2026-07-09Mountaineer?4th7th−3
2026-06-24Presque Isle Downs?6th9th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0424/0629/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength51%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20262nd9/276%80%+0.04
11/05/20263rd9/488%71%-0.17
14/06/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10
24/06/20266th16/116%0%-0.16
09/07/20264th12/137%40%+0.03
19/07/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
29/07/20262nd9/153%75%+0.22
24/08/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
03/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63