Take My Picture
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 90
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Allowance · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Lone Star | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lone Star | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 03/05/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |