IvyArcIvyArc
1

Valiant Enya

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 89

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Allowance · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Mountaineer 30/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 88 · 5f110y 121 · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 88 par30/10C7OR 88C5 @ Mountaineer 18/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 89 · 5f110y 118 · below its mark18/11/2025 · OR 89 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 76 par26/05C5OR 76C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 6f 123 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 73 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 78 · 6f 123 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 78 par3/07C5OR 78C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 79 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 81 · 1m70y Fas 123 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 81 par3/08C5OR 81C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m70y 125 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 85 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 85 par9/09C8OR 85projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Presque Isle Downs?2nd5th−3
2026-08-25Presque Isle Downs?5th8th−3
2026-08-03Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-07-20Presque Isle Downs?3rd6th−3
2026-07-03Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-06-17Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1017/063/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20256th8/158%0%-0.58
18/11/20254th13/266%57%-0.09
26/05/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
17/06/20263rd13/266%60%-0.06
03/07/20265th8/158%33%-0.25
20/07/20263rd12/137%60%+0.23
03/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
25/08/20265th15/261%50%-0.11
09/09/20262nd20/10%86%+0.86