Bold Advance
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 77
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-29 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |