Fayathaan
8yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 80
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Meadowlands | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2024-06-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2024-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2023 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/06/2023 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 21/07/2023 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/05/2024 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 16/06/2024 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2025 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 03/10/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 16/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |