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9

Good Moments

4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 85

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Aqueduct 22/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 86 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark22/03/2025 · OR 86 par22/03C9OR 86C9 @ Mountaineer 07/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 5f Slo 116 · below its mark07/07/2025 · OR 77 parC9 @ Mountaineer 22/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 79 · 6f Fas 116 · beat its mark22/07/2025 · OR 79 par22/07C9OR 79C8 @ Mountaineer 05/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark05/08/2025 · OR 80 parC8 @ Mountaineer 31/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 90 · 7f110y Fm 119 · below its mark31/08/2025 · OR 90 par31/08C8OR 90C8 @ Mountaineer 29/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 89 · 6f 118 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 89 parC8 @ Mountaineer 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 77 par30/06C8OR 77C8 @ Mountaineer 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Mountaineer 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 82 · 5f 124 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 82 par19/08C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Mountaineer?1st2nd−1
2026-08-05Mountaineer?1st2nd−1
2026-06-30Mountaineer?2nd3rd−1
2025-09-29Mountaineer?4th5th−1
2025-08-31Mountaineer?3rd4th−1
2025-08-05Mountaineer?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/035/0830/0619/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength9%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20256th16/116%38%+0.22
07/07/20252nd15/890%80%-0.10
22/07/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
05/08/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
31/08/20253rd9/153%50%-0.03
29/09/20254th11/486%25%-0.61
30/06/20262nd9/488%88%-0.01
05/08/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
19/08/20261st2/598%100%+0.02