Silver Front
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 86
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 25/07/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 12/08/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 19/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 21/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |