6
Todo Fino
10yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 94
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 05/04/2025 | 1st | 1/5 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 26/04/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |