7
Wicked Genius
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 78
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-07-30 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 06/10/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 03/11/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 23/11/2024 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |