Del Rey Dolly
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 75
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 18/11/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |