6
Golden Charm
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 69
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength9%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 01/03/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |