Little Bit Of That
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 75
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |