Maci's World
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 73
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 20/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |