Mean To Me
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 69
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 18/02/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |