5

Rock Star Parking

8yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 74

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Mountaineer 20/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 77 par20/04C7OR 77C7 @ Mountaineer 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 79 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Mountaineer 17/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 83 · 4f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 83 par17/06C7OR 83C7 @ Mountaineer 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 75 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 75 parC7 @ Mountaineer 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 82 par23/07C7OR 82C7 @ Mountaineer 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Mountaineer 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 78 · 5f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 78 par20/08C7OR 78C7 @ Mountaineer 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 5f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Mountaineer 14/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 74 par14/09C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-09-07Mountaineer?2nd1st+1
2026-08-20Mountaineer?4th3rd+1
2026-08-05Mountaineer?5th4th+1
2026-07-23Mountaineer?1st0th+1
2026-07-14Mountaineer?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0414/0720/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
05/05/20262nd13/891%83%-0.08
17/06/20263rd7/491%67%-0.24
14/07/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
23/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
05/08/20265th9/488%20%-0.68
20/08/20264th6/168%40%-0.28
07/09/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68
14/09/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19