3
Ransom Money
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 72
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +12.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 13/10/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |