2

Pearl Of Aclaim

5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 87

Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

69%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Mahoning Valley 11/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 85 · 5f110y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/11/2025 · OR 85 par11/11C7OR 85C7 @ Mountaineer 08/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 80 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/12/2025 · OR 80 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 05/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 81 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/01/2026 · OR 81 par5/01C5OR 81C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 10/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 78 · 6f110y 123 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 78 par22/06C8OR 78C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 84 · 6f 123 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 10/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 89 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 89 par10/08C7OR 89C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 79 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 85 · 6f 123 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 85 par21/09C8OR 85projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-09-07Presque Isle Downs?6th5th+1
2026-08-10Presque Isle Downs?7th6th+1
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-06-22Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-06-10Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1110/0610/0821/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/11/20255th9/153%20%-0.33
08/12/20255th9/276%0%-0.76
05/01/20269th16/116%11%-0.05
10/06/20266th9/153%38%-0.15
22/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
22/07/20263rd10/147%50%+0.03
10/08/20267th8/158%0%-0.58
07/09/20266th20/10%0%0.00
21/09/20261st4/179%100%+0.21