3
Showdown King
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 81
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 21/09/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |