Shy Da Runner
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 84
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 18/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |