Frosty Beer
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 18/01/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 21/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |