Yes I'm Jess
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 70
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 09/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 11/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |