Rocket Dragon
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-12-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |