4
Awesome Empress
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 88
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 04/08/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 15/08/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 29/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |