6

Haut Les Coeurs

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 81

Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mahoning Valley 02/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 80 · 1m70y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/01/2026 · OR 80 par2/01C5OR 80C5 @ Mahoning Valley 17/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 78 · 1m Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/02/2026 · OR 78 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 09/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/03/2026 · OR 76 par9/03C5OR 76C5 @ Mahoning Valley 08/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 74 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 74 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 71 · 1m 123 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 71 par18/05C7OR 71C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 74 · 1m 123 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 74 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 79 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 79 par23/06C5OR 79C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 84 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 83 · 6f 123 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 83 par18/08C7OR 83projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-07-20Presque Isle Downs?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-23Presque Isle Downs?7th5th+2
2026-06-09Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-05-18Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-04-08Mahoning Valley?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/018/0423/0618/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength94%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
17/02/20263rd9/488%50%-0.38
09/03/20265th15/261%33%-0.27
08/04/20267th20/10%0%0.00
18/05/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68
09/06/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
23/06/20267th8/158%33%-0.25
20/07/20262nd12/137%80%+0.43
18/08/20263rd7/163%50%-0.13