1

Little Miss Munny

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 85

Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mahoning Valley 03/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 79 · 1m70y Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/02/2026 · OR 79 par3/02C5OR 79C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m 123 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 80 · 1m 123 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 80 par2/06C7OR 80C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 78 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 78 parC7 @ Mountaineer 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 80 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 80 par15/07C7OR 80C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 79 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 11/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 82 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 82 par11/08C7OR 82C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 82 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 84 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 84 par9/09C8OR 84projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Presque Isle Downs?3rd4th−1
2026-08-25Presque Isle Downs?2nd3rd−1
2026-08-11Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-07-28Presque Isle Downs?3rd4th−1
2026-07-15Mountaineer?6th6th0
2026-06-23Presque Isle Downs?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0223/0611/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
18/05/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
02/06/20265th8/158%0%-0.58
23/06/20265th40/10%56%+0.56
15/07/20266th5/174%0%-0.74
28/07/20263rd33/10%67%+0.67
11/08/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
25/08/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61
09/09/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45