3

Spotty Showers

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 84

Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 84 · 5f Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/07/2025 · OR 84 par14/07C5OR 84C6 @ Colonial Downs 22/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 76 parC6 @ Colonial Downs 04/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 84 par4/09C6OR 84C8 @ Churchill Downs 06/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark06/11/2025 · OR 87 parC6 @ Turfway Park 06/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 76 · 1m110y 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 76 par6/03C6OR 76C8 @ Colonial Downs 06/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 79 par7/08C8OR 79C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m110y Gd 124C8 @ Colonial Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 86 par6/09C8OR 86projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Colonial Downs?5th6th−1
2026-08-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-07Colonial Downs?5th6th−1
2026-07-06Colonial Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-03-06Turfway Park?6th5th+1
2025-11-06Churchill Downs?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/076/117/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength94%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20258th13/266%0%-0.66
22/08/20254th33/10%50%+0.50
04/09/20256th25/10%38%+0.38
06/11/20256th8/158%44%-0.13
06/03/20266th25/10%0%0.00
06/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
07/08/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
26/08/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
06/09/20265th16/116%33%+0.18