Thank You Amy
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 84
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 19/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |