5
Time For An Angel
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 89
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength34%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/7 | 97% | 60% | -0.37 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 4/11 | 98% | 14% | -0.84 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |