1
Zo Lee
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 93
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-30 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 08/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |