6
Article
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 68
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 20/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 20/12/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |