7

Bengal Cat

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 62

Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 06/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 59 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 59 par6/08C6OR 59C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 61 · 1m70y 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 61 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 67 · 1m 125 · below its mark09/09/2025 · OR 67 par9/09C8OR 67C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 30/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 68 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 68 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark07/10/2025 · OR 71 par7/10C8OR 71C5 @ Mountaineer 21/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 70 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/10/2025 · OR 70 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 56 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 56 par16/06C8OR 56C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 53 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 53 parC8 @ Mountaineer 13/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 52 · 5f 124 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 52 par13/09C8OR 52projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Mountaineer?6th6th0
2026-07-02Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-06-16Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0
2025-10-21Mountaineer?5th2nd+3
2025-10-07Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0
2025-09-30Presque Isle Downs?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0830/0916/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength39%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20256th16/116%38%+0.22
02/09/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
09/09/20253rd16/116%60%+0.44
30/09/20258th50/10%13%+0.13
07/10/20256th16/116%0%-0.16
21/10/20255th12/137%0%-0.37
16/06/20266th25/10%0%0.00
02/07/20265th20/10%0%0.00
13/09/20266th20/10%44%+0.44