
Bengal Cat
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 62
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 09/09/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 30/09/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |