5
He's A Pisces
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2024 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |