3
Speaker's Lobby
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 21/01/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 89% | -0.06 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |