Jolie Coeur Allen
7yo Mare · 11-11 · OR 102
Sedgefield · Happy 96th Birthday John Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 178y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Cartmel | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Sedgefield | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Musselburgh | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Sedgefield | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2025 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 24/05/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/06/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |